Analytics
Resolved Juan Pablo Varillas on 2 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Juan Pablo Varillas at 71.5%. The Federico Arnaboldi side opened at 42.5% on 1 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 1 Sep 2026 to 2 Sep 2026, the highest close was 42.5% on 1 Sep 2026 and the lowest 28.5% on 2 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 28.5% on 2 Sep 2026. $17.14K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 3, 5:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Federico Arnaboldi price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 1 Sep 2026 – 2 Sep 2026, chart shows 25%–50%
| Observed | Federico Arnaboldi price |
|---|---|
| 1 Sep 2026 | 42.5% |
| 2 Sep 2026 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x0x23kjookhaiuohduoayh8c9 | Federico Arnaboldi | 4.45K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Federico Arnaboldi | 1.86K |
| UpTheBlues | Federico Arnaboldi | 757.9 |
| sentrio | Federico Arnaboldi |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Juan Pablo Varillas in the Como, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Arnaboldi' if Federico Arnaboldi advances against Juan Pablo Varillas. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Federico Arnaboldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-arnabol-varilla-2026-09-02
| 664.93 |
| MatrixAttack | Federico Arnaboldi | 518.78 |
| Lilybaeum | Federico Arnaboldi | 253.96 |
| RN1 | Federico Arnaboldi | 253.52 |
| mark.flores080 | Federico Arnaboldi | 111.11 |
| NatoAlfista | Federico Arnaboldi | 58 |
| SerSir | Federico Arnaboldi | 55.57 |
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