Analytics
Resolved Hernan Casanova on 6 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Hernan Casanova at 60.5%. The Mateus Cardoso Alves side opened at 39.5% on 4 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 May 2026 to 6 May 2026, the highest close was 39.5% on 4 May 2026 and the lowest 37% on 5 May 2026. $72.85K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 6:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Mateus Cardoso Alves price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 May 2026 – 6 May 2026, chart shows 32%–44%
| Observed | Mateus Cardoso Alves price |
|---|---|
| 4 May 2026 | 39.5% |
| 6 May 2026 | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Misty Signal 4DFE | Mateus Cardoso Alves | 14.13K |
| blindsamsam | Mateus Cardoso Alves | 510.5 |
| SunlineTicker | Mateus Cardoso Alves | 266.62 |
| dteenreal | Mateus Cardoso Alves |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mateus Cardoso Alves and Hernan Casanova in the Santos, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mateus Cardoso Alves' if Mateus Cardoso Alves advances against Hernan Casanova. This market will resolve to 'Hernan Casanova' if Hernan Casanova advances against Mateus Cardoso Alves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-alve-casanov-2026-05-05
| 100 |
| Mull88 | Mateus Cardoso Alves | 48.63 |
| Rapid Summit EF23 | Mateus Cardoso Alves | 42.86 |
| igot50k | Mateus Cardoso Alves | 39.4 |
| encore21 | Mateus Cardoso Alves | 21 |
| poshposh | Mateus Cardoso Alves | 15.46 |
| BeatYou6 | Mateus Cardoso Alves | 11.36 |
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