Analytics
Resolved Alcaraz on 27 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Alcaraz at 71%. The Alcaraz side opened at 94.5% on 26 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2025 to 27 Sep 2025, the highest close was 94.5% on 26 Sep 2025 and the lowest 71% on 27 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 71% on 27 Sep 2025. $51.86K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 28, 4:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Alcaraz price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 26 Sep 2025 – 27 Sep 2025, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Alcaraz price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2025 | 94.5% |
| 27 Sep 2025 | 71.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MLBksRETARD | Bergs | 14.03K |
| 4-seass | Bergs | 5.31K |
| Deafening-Possible | Bergs | 14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Zizou Bergs in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, scheduled for September 26 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Zizou Bergs. This market will resolve to 'Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Carlos Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve in favor of the player(s) who officially advances to the next round. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-alcaraz-vs-bergs-2025-09-27
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