Analytics
Resolved Sinner on 16 Nov 2025.
$2.39M traded over the market's life.
447 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 18, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 16 Nov 2025, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2025 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| qwertyasdfghjkl | Alcaraz | 171.16K |
| gopfan2 | Alcaraz | 40K |
| scheasche | Alcaraz | 36.3K |
| markizunt | Alcaraz | 19.12K |
| pkkudlatty | Alcaraz | 16.64K |
| Painfulvoid | Alcaraz | 16.36K |
| papajondro | Alcaraz | 15.78K |
| Anjun | Alcaraz | 15.56K |
| becarefulsuus | Alcaraz | 11.24K |
| trwin52 | Alcaraz | 10.81K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner in the ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage, scheduled for November 16 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Jannik Sinner. This market will resolve to 'Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Carlos Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-alcaraz-sinner-2025-11-16
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