Analytics
Resolved Carlos Alcaraz on 12 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Carlos Alcaraz at 100%. The Carlos Alcaraz side opened at 89.5% on 11 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 11 Mar 2026 to 12 Mar 2026, the highest close was 100% on 12 Mar 2026 and the lowest 89.5% on 11 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 100% on 12 Mar 2026. $559.74K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 13, 2:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Carlos Alcaraz price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 12 Mar 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Carlos Alcaraz price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 89.5% |
| 12 Mar 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Casper Ruud | 60.35K |
| jjzz | Casper Ruud | 33.3K |
| delpotro | Casper Ruud | 3.5K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Casper Ruud | 2.93K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud in the BNP Paribas Open, scheduled for March 11 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Casper Ruud. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Carlos Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-alcaraz-ruud-2026-03-11
| tradingl | Casper Ruud | 2.64K |
| Cautious-Present | Casper Ruud | 1.94K |
| omoi0i0 | Casper Ruud | 1.67K |
| mastermind24 | Casper Ruud | 1.58K |
| Incomplete-Culture | Casper Ruud | 1.01K |
| ZindredineZidane | Casper Ruud | 1K |
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