Analytics
Resolved Alcaraz on 23 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alcaraz at 3%. Yes opened at 97.2% on 22 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 22 Jan 2026 to 23 Jan 2026, the price held at 97.2%. $318.34K traded over the market's life.
49 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 24, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 22 Jan 2026 – 23 Jan 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jan 2026 | 97.2% |
| 23 Jan 2026 | 97.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SecondWindCapital | Moutet | 99.15K |
| knedloveprovelo | Moutet | 24.02K |
| Punisher2022 | Moutet | 6.48K |
| LAJSdiqwae2 | Moutet | 5K |
| robinvanpersie | Moutet | 2.58K |
| Delectable-Harmonize | Moutet | 2.13K |
| ATPTOUR | Moutet | 2K |
| minmoon | Moutet | 1.2K |
| Rollbit | Moutet | 1K |
| Criminal-Sphynx | Moutet | 980.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Corentin Moutet in the Australian Open ATP, scheduled for January 22 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Corentin Moutet. This market will resolve to 'Moutet' if Corentin Moutet advances against Carlos Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-alcaraz-moutet-2026-01-23
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
