Analytics
Resolved Carlos Alcaraz on 7 Apr 2026.
$339.64K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 8, 6:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 7 Apr 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Apr 2026 | 95.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Sebastian Baez | 33.83K |
| lopux | Sebastian Baez | 10.13K |
| yegorrr23 | Sebastian Baez | 9.7K |
| Lilybaeum | Sebastian Baez | 7.75K |
| dikkedakke | Sebastian Baez | 7.35K |
| SunlineTicker | Sebastian Baez | 5.68K |
| Keen Falcon D40C | Sebastian Baez | 4.88K |
| kokkaraa | Sebastian Baez | 3.9K |
| hi774c | Sebastian Baez | 2.86K |
| slimjoe | Sebastian Baez | 1.75K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Sebastian Baez in the Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, scheduled for April 8 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Carlos Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-alcaraz-baez-2026-04-08
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