Analytics
Resolved Learner Tien on 12 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Learner Tien at 50%. The Daniel Merida Aguilar side opened at 34.5% on 10 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 10 Aug 2026 to 12 Aug 2026, the highest close was 50% on 12 Aug 2026 and the lowest 33.5% on 11 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 50% on 12 Aug 2026. $451.52K traded over the market's life.
137 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 13, 1:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Daniel Merida Aguilar price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 10 Aug 2026 – 12 Aug 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Daniel Merida Aguilar price |
|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2026 | 34.5% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jiiivi655 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 5.98K |
| booboo | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 2.81K |
| UpTheBlues | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 2.71K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Daniel Merida Aguilar |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Learner Tien in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Learner Tien. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-aguilar-tien-2026-08-11
| 2.57K |
| BlasTesla | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 2.53K |
| Complicated-Chassis | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 2.5K |
| Notradecopy | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 2.46K |
| GamblingAddict12345 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 2.42K |
| eskk | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 2.37K |
| Lilybaeum | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.66K |
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