Analytics
Resolved Alex Michelsen on 6 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Alex Michelsen at 86%. The Daniel Merida Aguilar side opened at 27% on 5 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 5 Mar 2026 to 6 Mar 2026, the highest close was 27% on 5 Mar 2026 and the lowest 14% on 6 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 14% on 6 Mar 2026.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 3:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Daniel Merida Aguilar price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 5 Mar 2026 – 6 Mar 2026, chart shows 10%–30%
| Observed | Daniel Merida Aguilar price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2026 | 27.0% |
| 6 Mar 2026 | 14.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| knedloveprovelo | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 17.64K |
| Basquetipster | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 2.62K |
| Unpleasant-Pavement | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 2K |
| Bagwell306 | Daniel Merida Aguilar |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Alex Michelsen in the BNP Paribas Open, scheduled for March 5 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Alex Michelsen. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-aguilar-michels-2026-03-05
| 1K |
| rox119 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 799.3 |
| DT9 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 563.69 |
| slimjoe | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 500 |
| JuanFerCarbaLama | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 371.02 |
| Erikzamboer | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 351 |
| JACKISOBA | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 221 |
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