Analytics
The Daniel Merida Aguilar side is at 24% on Polymarket.
It is one of 16 markets under “Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev”.
$13.74K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.58K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 50 trades, $2.61K bought Daniel Merida Aguilar and $2.55K bought Daniil Medvedev.
The largest Daniel Merida Aguilar position is endlzz with 4.5K shares; the largest Daniil Medvedev position is Flaznorp with 5.8K. Ten wallets hold 94.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 9 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 9:28 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Daniel Merida Aguilar price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Daniel Merida Aguilar price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2026 | 24.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Flaznorp | Daniil Medvedev | 5.84K |
| endlzz | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 4.53K |
| 38791873984189 | Daniil Medvedev | 3.42K |
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Daniil Medvedev in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-aguilar-medvede-2026-10-27
3 more markets, none above 48.0%.
| Swift Vector B22F | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 2.76K |
| mindblower | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 2.5K |
| yegorrr23 | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.52K |
| RollAwayTheDew | Daniil Medvedev | 1.35K |
| did-i-ask-for-the-physio | Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1.26K |
| mattmt1 | Daniil Medvedev | 826 |
| Deliles | Daniil Medvedev | 209 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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