Analytics
Resolved Daniel Merida Aguilar on 4 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Daniel Merida Aguilar at 56.5%. The Daniel Merida Aguilar side opened at 55.5% on 2 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 57.5% on 3 Aug 2026 and the low 55.5% on 2 Aug 2026. $361.23K traded over the market's life.
99 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 8:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Daniel Merida Aguilar price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 2 Aug 2026 – 4 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 50%–62%
| Observed | Daniel Merida Aguilar price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2026 | 55.5% |
| 4 Aug 2026 | 56.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jarosbill | Liam Draxl | 13.65K |
| Velanda | Liam Draxl | 4K |
| jiiivi655 | Liam Draxl | 3.44K |
| omnibus-076daa | Liam Draxl | 3.39K |
| Windy-Veal-Gelatin | Liam Draxl | 3.31K |
| Indigo Summit DCC2 | Liam Draxl | 3.08K |
| Arabiam | Liam Draxl | 2K |
| sidekicks1 | Liam Draxl | 1.83K |
| Sick-Backyard | Liam Draxl | 1.66K |
| zegg1 | Liam Draxl | 1.5K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Liam Draxl in the Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Liam Draxl. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-aguilar-draxl-2026-08-03
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