Analytics
Resolved Canas on 15 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Canas at 99.8%. The Aguilar side opened at 36.5% on 14 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 14 Feb 2026 to 15 Feb 2026, the highest close was 36.5% on 14 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 15 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 0.3% on 15 Feb 2026. $31.29K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 16, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Aguilar price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 14 Feb 2026 – 15 Feb 2026
| Observed | Aguilar price |
|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | 36.5% |
| 15 Feb 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Used-Efficiency | Aguilar | 744.62 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Aguilar | 372 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Aguilar | 363 |
| Arbga2026 | Aguilar | 352 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Alejandro Moro Canas in the Tenerife 2, scheduled for February 14 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Alejandro Moro Canas. This market will resolve to 'Canas' if Alejandro Moro Canas advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-aguilar-canas-2026-02-14
| vovifish | Aguilar | 350.33 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Aguilar | 311 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Aguilar | 280 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Aguilar | 104 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Aguilar | 77.01 |
| Married-Attacker | Aguilar | 60 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
