Analytics
Resolved Martin on 17 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Martin at 78%. The Aguilar side opened at 57% on 16 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 16 Feb 2026 to 17 Feb 2026, the highest close was 57% on 16 Feb 2026 and the lowest 22% on 17 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 22% on 17 Feb 2026. $6.52K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 19, 12:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Aguilar price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 16 Feb 2026 – 17 Feb 2026
| Observed | Aguilar price |
|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 | 57.0% |
| 17 Feb 2026 | 22.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| noobslayer44444 | Aguilar | 379.15 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Aguilar | 297 |
| knedloveprovelo | Aguilar | 177.92 |
| Skoobydoo | Aguilar | 33.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Juan Carlos Aguilar and Andres Martin in the Metepec, scheduled for February 16 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aguilar' if Juan Carlos Aguilar advances against Andres Martin. This market will resolve to 'Martin' if Andres Martin advances against Juan Carlos Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-aguila-marti-2026-02-16
| flexproblem | Aguilar | 20 |
| spreadmaker7 | Aguilar | 5 |
| Clawbotazleeruiz9 | Aguilar | 5 |
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