Analytics
The Valerio Aboian side is at 40%, down 2 points from 42% at 23 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC.
Across 9 price reads from 23 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 23 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC, the highest read was 42.5% on 23 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC and the lowest 39.5% on 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC.
It is one of 16 markets under “Cali: Valerio Aboian vs Miguel Tobon”.
$279.7 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $6.92K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Valerio Aboian position is hhhizli with 138 shares; the largest Miguel Tobon position is 38791873984189 with 90.
Trading closes on 30 Oct 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 2:28 PM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsHourly closes of the Valerio Aboian price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 23 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 23 Oct, 14:00 UTC, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Valerio Aboian price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 42.0% |
| 23 Oct, 14:00 UTC | 39.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hhhizli | Valerio Aboian | 138.26 |
| 38791873984189 | Miguel Tobon | 89.91 |
| Dionis81 | Valerio Aboian | 62.5 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Miguel Tobon in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Miguel Tobon. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-aboian-tobon-2026-10-23
3 more markets, none above 48.0%.
| jmp123 | Miguel Tobon | 49.18 |
| faringeyt | Miguel Tobon | 43.35 |
| Scalit | Valerio Aboian | 36.95 |
| 0xbfD770B7ff0 | Miguel Tobon | 33.32 |
| betfun... | Valerio Aboian | 25 |
| Rapid Sphinx B44D | Miguel Tobon | 15.99 |
| tradegoose | Miguel Tobon | 15.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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