Analytics
Resolved Valerio Aboian on 6 Sep 2026.
$108.36K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 7, 5:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Valerio Aboian price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 6 Sep 2026, chart shows 72%–84%
| Observed | Valerio Aboian price |
|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2026 | 78.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KNPDTRAD | Luca Castagnola | 7.04K |
| calamansidios | Luca Castagnola | 3.57K |
| imumoccupancy | Luca Castagnola | 1.82K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Luca Castagnola | 1.74K |
| UpTheBlues | Luca Castagnola | 793.93 |
| Rapid Kestrel 8B19 | Luca Castagnola | 727.29 |
| love53forever | Luca Castagnola | 499.99 |
| berlinskies | Luca Castagnola | 384.58 |
| Maryyyyyy | Luca Castagnola | 205 |
| po1yqtdotcom | Luca Castagnola | 148.35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Luca Castagnola in the Genoa, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Luca Castagnola. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castagnola' if Luca Castagnola advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-aboian-castagn-2026-09-06
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
