Analytics
Resolved Luis Carlos Alvarez on 7 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Luis Carlos Alvarez at 79%. The Valerio Aboian side opened at 57.5% on 6 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 57.5% on 6 Jul 2026 and the low 21% on 7 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 21% on 7 Jul 2026. $1.09M traded over the market's life.
94 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 8, 1:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Valerio Aboian price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 6 Jul 2026 – 7 Jul 2026
| Observed | Valerio Aboian price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2026 | 57.5% |
| 7 Jul 2026 | 21.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| igot50k | Valerio Aboian | 2.75K |
| Faithful-Jazz | Valerio Aboian | 2.71K |
| Violet Horizon EE81 | Valerio Aboian | 2.16K |
| tennisroger | Valerio Aboian | 872.81 |
| Frightening-Start | Valerio Aboian | 520.37 |
| Quiet Vector E330 | Valerio Aboian | 512.17 |
| MohnatiyParanoik | Valerio Aboian | 499.98 |
| Puzzled-Technique | Valerio Aboian | 423.73 |
| Vivacious-Bankbook | Valerio Aboian | 377.26 |
| Better-Metabolite | Valerio Aboian | 342.11 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Luis Carlos Alvarez in the Bogota, originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Luis Carlos Alvarez. This market will resolve to 'Luis Carlos Alvarez' if Luis Carlos Alvarez advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-aboian-alvare-2026-07-06
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