Analytics
Yes is at 2.5%, down 48 points from 50% when the market opened on 12 Aug 2026.
Across the 76 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 54% on 16 Aug 2026 and the lowest 2.3% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.3%; a month before, 29%. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 54% on 16 Aug 2026.
11.5+ rushing TDs ranks fifth of the 5 outcomes in “Pro Football: Ashton Jeanty 2026-27 Regular Season Rushing Touchdowns”. 3.5+ rushing TDs leads at 42%; 5.5+ rushing TDs is at 30.5%.
$665.34 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $100.26, with a 4.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 26 trades, $12.46 bought Yes and $155.7 bought No.
The largest Yes position is erdos-baconator with 51 shares; the largest No position is Robbb with 110.
Trading closes on 27 Jan 2027, 91 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 12 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 2.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Robbb | No | 110.18 |
| erdos-baconator | Yes | 51.21 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 40 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of rushing touchdowns Ashton Jeanty records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 11.5. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Ashton Jeanty does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many rushing touchdowns Ashton Jeanty recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ashton-jeanty-rushing-touchdowns-2026-27
| cigarettes |
| No |
| 35.1 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 20.92 |
| PPMT | Yes | 12.19 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 5 |
| letsgo33 | Yes | 5 |
| Exemplary-Decisionmaking | Yes | 4.99 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 3.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
