
Resolved No on 8 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 6 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 13% on 8 Aug 2026 and the low 6.5% on 6 Aug 2026. $13.64K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 9, 5:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 8 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 6.5% |
| 8 Aug 2026 | 13.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| poshposh | Yes | 587.39 |
| Simplistic-Questionnaire-Brand | Yes | 199.99 |
| 0xmmwhale | Yes | 153.85 |
| Solar Ledger A27A | Yes | 102 |
| si6nin9 | Yes | 100 |
| Reasonable-Expedition | Yes | 85.09 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 52 |
| raven-cro | Yes | 25 |
| Mindzen | Yes | 20 |
| sniper-yo | Yes | 16.66 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming ASEAN Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, August 8, 2026 between Thailand and Myanmar.
Resolution source: https://www.aseanfootball.org/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/asean-tha-mya-2026-08-08
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