
Resolved Yes on 9 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 30.5%. Yes opened at 34% on 4 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 34% on 4 Nov 2025 and the low 26.5% on 7 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 28% on 5 Nov 2025. $2.56K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 10, 8:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 4 Nov 2025 – 9 Nov 2025 · axis zoomed to 20%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2025 | 34.0% |
| 9 Nov 2025 | 30.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 941 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 255 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 123 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 93 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 73 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 51 |
| Solar Meteor 7A9A | No | 12 |
| Pahzek | No | 9.67 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.79 |
| tappingno | No | 2.94 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 8, 2025 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.afa.com.ar/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arg-uni-bar-2025-11-08
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