Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 86.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 23 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 23 Sep 2025 to 29 Sep 2025, the highest close was 50% on 23 Sep 2025 and the lowest 13.5% on 29 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 32% on 24 Sep 2025. $1.84K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 30, 8:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 23 Sep 2025 – 29 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2025 | 50.0% |
| 29 Sep 2025 | 13.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hard-To-Find-Dreamer | Yes | 756.04 |
| Robyy13 | Yes | 603.72 |
| Kbr | Yes | 20 |
| yesorn | Yes | 19.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 28, 2025 If CS Independiente Rivadavia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.afa.com.ar/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arg-riv1-cah-2025-09-28
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