Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 23 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 51% on 23 Sep 2025 and the low 21.5% on 29 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 35% on 24 Sep 2025. $8.76K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 30, 8:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 23 Sep 2025 – 29 Sep 2025, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Sep 2025 | 51.0% |
| 29 Sep 2025 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Robyy13 | Yes | 765.52 |
| Kbr | Yes | 222 |
| Ill-Fated-Buzzard | Yes | 88 |
| BygoneGloom | Yes | 38.28 |
| 51155 | Yes | 17.86 |
| Misty Horizon 06B5 | Yes | 8.33 |
| Bold Atlas E947 | Yes | 8.33 |
| Lunar Comet 9A5B | Yes | 7.89 |
| Ivory Voyager ED44 | Yes | 5.71 |
| Silver Sphinx 5B40 | Yes | 5.56 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 28, 2025 If CA Huracán wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.afa.com.ar/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arg-riv1-cah-2025-09-28
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