Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 49.5%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 7 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2025 to 13 Oct 2025, the highest close was 54.5% on 7 Oct 2025 and the lowest 10.5% on 11 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 14.5% on 8 Oct 2025. $41.81K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 8:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 7 Oct 2025 – 13 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2025 | 54.5% |
| 13 Oct 2025 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| comon119 | No | 2.68K |
| Coral Oracle B805 | No | 426.6 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 422.24 |
| Ill-Fated-Buzzard | No | 149.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 12, 2025 If CA Sarmiento wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.afa.com.ar/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arg-riv-cas-2025-10-12
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