Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 48% on 31 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 31 Jan 2026 to 27 Feb 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48% on 31 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 27 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 0.4% on 27 Feb 2026. $5.07K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 28, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 31 Jan 2026 – 27 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | 48.0% |
| 27 Feb 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Markusoe | Yes | 615.59 |
| Uncommon-Spacing | Yes | 299.14 |
| Cannae | Yes | 175.58 |
| Arbga2026 | Yes | 146 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 26, 2026 If CA Banfield wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Resolution source: https://www.afa.com.ar/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arg-riv-ban-2026-02-26
New to prediction markets?
| rox119 | Yes | 100 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 63 |
| LYFLYF | Yes | 57.85 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 28.79 |
| Peperelman | Yes | 28.57 |
| Jaded-Bandolier | Yes | 22.83 |
