Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.5%. Yes opened at 33% on 30 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 97.5% on 1 Oct 2025 and the low 33% on 30 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 65 points up, to 97.5% on 1 Oct 2025. $2.88K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 8:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 30 Sep 2025 – 1 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2025 | 33.0% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 97.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SpartanWar | No | 1.44K |
| assertequal | No | 199.99 |
| Nozadi | No | 92.49 |
| Authentic-Lanai | No | 7.25 |
| LuisE | No | 7.25 |
| 2j289uUmAio7ap245975 | No | 1.45 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 30, 2025 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Resolution source: https://www.afa.com.ar/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arg-new-est-2025-09-30
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