Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 35.5% on 28 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 39% on 29 Oct 2025 and the low 0.1% on 4 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 38 points down, to 0.1% on 4 Nov 2025. $7.79K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 8 points · 28 Oct 2025 – 4 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | 35.5% |
| 4 Nov 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Pahzek | Yes | 1.18K |
| Amused-Lock | Yes | 596.05 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 474 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 177 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 101.9 |
| Hamtori | Yes | 80 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 73 |
| Severe-Eviction | Yes | 71.67 |
| deadm0use | Yes | 70 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 69 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 3, 2025 If CSyD Defensa y Justicia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arg-def-cah-2025-11-03
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