
Resolved No on 23 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 72%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 52.5% on 22 Sep 2025 and the low 28% on 23 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 28% on 23 Sep 2025. $3.38K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 24, 8:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 21 Sep 2025 – 23 Sep 2025 · axis zoomed to 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2025 | 50.0% |
| 23 Sep 2025 | 28.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Pupecita | Yes | 356.37 |
| MetaRestart | Yes | 200 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 200 |
| UFC777 | Yes | 180.59 |
| Imperfect-Stepdaughter | Yes | 16.67 |
| Mipiedro | Yes | 3.13 |
| Weekly-Pickax | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 22, 2025 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Resolution source: https://www.afa.com.ar/es/liga-profesional-de-futbol
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arg-bel-new-2025-09-22
New to prediction markets?