Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78.5%. Yes opened at 26.5% on 7 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2026 to 26 Jan 2026, the highest close was 26.5% on 7 Jan 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 26 Jan 2026. $7.2K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 27, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 7 Jan 2026 – 26 Jan 2026, chart shows 15%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | 26.5% |
| 26 Jan 2026 | 21.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nzone | Yes | 418.75 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 276.37 |
| Cannae | Yes | 212.57 |
| defipaca | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for January 25, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arg-aaj-cas-2026-01-25
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| adose | Yes | 95.24 |
| LYFLYF | Yes | 84.23 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 77.7 |
| paas2 | Yes | 30.01 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 30 |
