Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Mar 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99%. Yes opened at 92% on 17 Mar 2023. Before it settled, the high was 99% on 25 Mar 2023 and the low 92% on 17 Mar 2023. $217.5K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 31, 5:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 56 points, 17 Mar 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2023 | 92.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Exemplary-Lament | No | 32.49K |
| Swift Voyager BB82 | No | 18.55K |
| Darling-Diaper | No | 14.92K |
| Weekly-North | No | 5.13K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arbitrum's token is above $5,000,000,000 1 week after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." "1 week after launch" is defined as exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the token is claimable. The Arbitrum Foundation has currently announced the token will be claimable on block https://etherscan.io/block/countdown/16890400. Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) = Current Price x Max Supply The resolution source for this market is a consensus of highly liquid sources of $ARB's FDV 1 week after launch. If Arbitrum doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arbitrum-token-fdv-5b-one-week-after-launch
| Fumbling-Chime | No | 4.64K |
| aaa5 | No | 4.48K |
| Automatic-Soulmate | No | 3.32K |
| Happy-Slash | No | 2.07K |
| HarvardInsider | No | 2K |
| Quizzical-Extent | No | 1.42K |
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