Analytics
Resolved ARB on 19 May 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had ARB at 49.5%. The ARB side opened at 50% on 10 May 2023. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 10 May 2023 to 19 May 2023 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 60% on 13 May 2023 and the lowest 48.5% on 11 May 2023. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 60% on 13 May 2023. $2.94K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 20, 3:40 PM UTC
Daily closes of the ARB price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 10 May 2023 – 19 May 2023, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | ARB price |
|---|---|
| 10 May 2023 | 50.0% |
| 19 May 2023 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Novel-Selfcontrol | ARB | 1.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "ARB" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ARB/USDT titled 2023/05/19 12:00 in the ET timezone (referring to noon ET) has a final “Close” price higher than the "Close" price for the candle of the same title for SUI/USDT. This market will resolve to "SUI" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SUI/USDT titled 2023/05/19 12:00 in the ET timezone has a final “Close” price higher than the "Close" price for the candle of the same title for ARB/USDT. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the Binance 1 minute candles for ARB/USDT and SUI/USDT titled 2023/05/19 12:00 in the ET timezone have final "Close" prices that are exactly equal. The resolution source for this market is https://www.binance.com, specifically the ARB/USDT and SUI/USDT “Close” prices, currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ARB_USDT and https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SUI_USDT respectively. The Binance API url for ARB/USDT and SUI/USDT may be used in the event that the chart is unavailable. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ARB/USDT and SUI/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arb-or-sui-higher-on-may-19
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