Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Mar 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 9% on 24 Mar 2023. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 24 Mar 2023 to 30 Mar 2023, the highest close was 10% on 25 Mar 2023 and the lowest 1% on 29 Mar 2023. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 4% on 26 Mar 2023. $21.99K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 31, 12:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 50 points, 24 Mar 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Mar 2023 | 9.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Darling-Diaper | Yes | 1.12K |
| Cosmic Sphinx 9806 | Yes | 1K |
| Inferior-Stepdaughter | Yes | 450 |
| Thrifty-Consumer | Yes | 420.74 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arbitrum token's price is above $2.0000 (i.e. $2.0001 or greater) one week after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." "one week after launch" is defined as exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the token was claimable. The resolution source for this market will be consensus of highly liquid price sources as to whether Arbitrum's token is above $2 one week after launch.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arb-above-2-one-week-after-launch
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| HarvardInsider | Yes | 100 |
| Stingy-Promotion | Yes | 100 |
| Defensive-Golf | Yes | 76.92 |
| testing43433434 | Yes | 0.67 |
