Analytics
Resolved No on 3 May 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91%. Yes opened at 32.5% on 27 Apr 2023. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 27 Apr 2023 to 2 May 2023 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 36.5% on 28 Apr 2023 and the lowest 9% on 2 May 2023. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 9% on 2 May 2023. $7.56K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 4, 2:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 27 Apr 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Apr 2023 | 32.5% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Solar Vector 9A13 | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ARB/USDT titled 2023/05/03 12:00 in the ET timezone (referring to noon ET) has a final “Close” price of 1.5001 or higher, or to "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market is https://www.binance.com, specifically the ARB/USDT “Close” prices, currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ARB_USDT. The Binance API url for ARB/USDT may be used in the event that the chart is unavailable. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ARB/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ARB_USDT
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arb-above-1pt50-on-may-3
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