Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Apr 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84%. Yes opened at 63% on 31 Mar 2023. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 31 Mar 2023 to 8 Apr 2023 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 69% on 2 Apr 2023 and the lowest 16% on 8 Apr 2023. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 53% on 3 Apr 2023. $34.25K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 9, 3:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 31 Mar 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Mar 2023 | 63.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Vigilant-Pipe | Yes | 772.5 |
| CFW | Yes | 200 |
| Excitable-Occasion | Yes | 165.36 |
| High-Level-Ecology | Yes | 60.17 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Binance 1 minute candle for ARB/USDT titled 2023/04/07 23:59 in the ET timezone (referring to 11:59 PM ET) has a final “Close” price of 1.2501 or higher, or to “No” otherwise.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ARB_USDT?_from=markets&theme=dark&type=spot
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arb-above-1pt25-on-april-7
| deeeznutz | Yes | 0.01 |
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