Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Mar 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 2% on 21 Mar 2023. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 21 Mar 2023 to 30 Mar 2023 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 2% on 21 Mar 2023 and the lowest 1% on 24 Mar 2023. $87.2K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 31, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 21 Mar 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2023 | 2.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cosmic Scout CADB | Yes | 294.12K |
| HermanP | Yes | 5.99K |
| HarvardInsider | Yes | 5.62K |
| Stingy-Promotion | Yes | 4K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arbitrum token's price is above $10.0000 (i.e. $10.0001 or greater) one week after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." "1 week after launch" is defined as exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the token is claimable. The Arbitrum Foundation has currently announced the token will be claimable on block https://etherscan.io/block/countdown/16890400. The resolution source for this market will be consensus of highly liquid price sources as to whether Arbitrum's token is above $10 one week after launch. If Arbitrum doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arb-above-10-one-week-after-launch
| Piercing-Care | Yes | 522 |
| Soft-Van | Yes | 217 |
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