Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Mar 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 54% on 17 Mar 2023. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 30 Mar 2023 and the low 54% on 17 Mar 2023. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 81% on 24 Mar 2023. $892.79K traded over the market's life.
59 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 31, 3:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 56 points, 17 Mar 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2023 | 54.0% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fumbling-Moonscape | No | 20.92K |
| Sure-Footed-Pastor | No | 8.61K |
| Fo3000 | No | 5.72K |
| Enlightened-Ecumenist | No | 4.73K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arbitrum token's price is above $1.0000 (i.e. $1.0001 or greater) one week after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." "1 week after launch" is defined as exactly 7 days (168 hours) after the token is claimable. The Arbitrum Foundation has currently announced the token will be claimable on block https://etherscan.io/block/countdown/16890400. The resolution source for this market will be consensus of highly liquid price sources as to whether Arbitrum's token is above $1 one week after launch. If Arbitrum doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arb-above-1-one-week-after-launch
| Golden Signal 53FE | No | 4.32K |
| Loose-Allergist | No | 4.14K |
| TradeUp | No | 3.25K |
| Excited-Drawing | No | 2.96K |
| polybets3 | No | 2.72K |
| Darling-Diaper | No | 2.33K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
