Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Apr 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 20 Apr 2023. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 20 Apr 2023 to 26 Apr 2023, the highest close was 49.5% on 20 Apr 2023 and the lowest 4.5% on 26 Apr 2023. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 16.5% on 24 Apr 2023. $33.04K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 23, 11:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 20 Apr 2023 – 17 May 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Apr 2023 | 49.5% |
| 17 May 2023 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hkm123 | Yes | 103.85 |
| Soulful-Senate | Yes | 57.33 |
| Friendly-Loincloth | Yes | 50 |
| HarvardInsider | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ARB/USDT titled 2023/04/26 12:00 in the ET timezone (referring to noon ET) has a final “Close” price of 1.5001 or higher, or to "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market is https://www.binance.com, specifically the ARB/USDT “Close” prices, currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ARB_USDT. The Binance API url for ARB/USDT may be used in the event that the chart is unavailable. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ARB/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ARB_USDT
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arb-above-1-50-on-april-26
| 333 | Yes | 2.5 |
| Feisty-Trait | Yes | 0.77 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
