
Yes is at 55.5%, down 21 points from 76.5% when the market opened on 17 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 76.5% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 55.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 71%. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 56.5% on 28 Oct 2026.
$126.33 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.07K since listing. The order book holds $524.36, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 57 trades, $210.2 bought Yes and $599.7 bought No.
The largest Yes position is extractive-manatee with 400 shares; the largest No position is SnapElectionAvoider with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 94.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 50%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 76.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 55.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 1.13K |
| extractive-manatee | Yes | 400 |
| LeechLord | Yes | 375.48 |
As of market creation, Aptiv is estimated to release earnings on November 3, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Aptiv’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.36 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Aptiv reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.36 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Aptiv releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/aptv-quarterly-earnings-nongaap-eps-11-03-2026-1pt36
| chessplayer | No | 90 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 81.52 |
| yetiyetiyeti | Yes | 55.03 |
| ddd141 | Yes | 50 |
| title1 | Yes | 47.64 |
| pupka-zalupka | Yes | 47.51 |
| Weary-Account | Yes | 43.73 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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