Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 51.5%. Yes opened at 67.5% on 20 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 83.5% on 1 Sep 2025 and the low 31% on 14 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points down, to 31% on 14 Sep 2025. $60.84K traded over the market's life.
81 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 28, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 161 points · 20 Aug 2025 – 26 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2025 | 67.5% |
| 26 Jan 2026 | 51.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mndsr | No | 2K |
| Hahakano | No | 1K |
| bronzeleopard | No | 944.59 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the AirTag 2 launches at $29.99 or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the AirTag 2 as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple’s retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release. If the price differs between configurations, this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard AirTag 2 model with no additional features, accessories, or services. A qualifying product must be named "AirTag" and be recognized as a successor to the original AirTag product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new AirTag product released without a number, under a designation other than AirTag 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the AirTag and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. If the AirTag 2 is not released by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/apple-airtags-2-priced-below-30-usd-at-release
| No |
| 434 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 343 |
| oliman2 | No | 323 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 238 |
| Jo4nibaba | No | 159 |
| bushonat1 | No | 146.29 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 144 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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