Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.5%. Yes opened at 3% on 24 Oct 2024. Before it settled, the high was 4% on 5 Nov 2024 and the low 2.3% on 31 Oct 2024. $63.4K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 10:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 14 points · 24 Oct 2024 – 6 Nov 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2024 | 3.0% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | 3.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 37.32K |
| Losemoney | Yes | 8.03K |
| BetMore69 | Yes | 4.11K |
| nateateeight | Yes | 2.86K |
| Bare-Almond | Yes | 2.56K |
| Amber Falcon 356C | Yes | 2.03K |
| MagaVibes9 | Yes | 719.23 |
| Cool-Jumper | Yes | 691.47 |
| LorDean | Yes | 325.22 |
| sid018 | Yes | 303.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press has not declared a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election by November 21, 2024, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP declares a winner before this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-day-will-the-ap-call-the-election
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