Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 1.5% on 22 Sep 2023. Before it settled, across the 102 daily closes on record from 22 Sep 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 2.9% on 28 Sep 2023 and the lowest 1% on 23 Sep 2023. $198.7 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 7:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 102 points, 22 Sep 2023 – 1 Jan 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Sep 2023 | 1.5% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mumps | Yes | 1.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ex-Chief Medical Advisor to the President Anthony Fauci spends any time in custody in a jail or prison between September 20 and December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/anthony-fauci-jail-by-eoy
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
