Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 31% on 23 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 23 Aug 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 33.5% on 1 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.6% on 29 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 33.5% on 1 Sep 2024. $117.89K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 4:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 23 Aug 2024 – 1 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2024 | 31.0% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Compassionate-Factor | Yes | 309 |
| Na8 | Yes | 120 |
| ER02CB | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Elon Musk hold another space on X together between August 21 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is necessary that an X space between the candidates actually occur. Announcements that such a space will occur will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market is information from Donald Trump and Elon Musk and their official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-trump-x-musk-space-before-october
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 35.71 |
| MarkPolygonHVN | Yes | 25 |
| Torn-Undertaker | Yes | 17.65 |
| markt0ny | Yes | 14.29 |
| Criptobank | Yes | 0.59 |
| S1mplez | Yes | 0.5 |
| efkasconsdi1980 | No | 0.1 |
