Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93.4%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 18 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 18 Dec 2024 to 21 Dec 2024, the highest close was 38% on 20 Dec 2024 and the lowest 6.6% on 21 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 6.6% on 21 Dec 2024. $36.85K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 22, 7:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 18 Dec 2024 – 21 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2024 | 7.5% |
| 21 Dec 2024 | 6.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Swift Sphinx D2D8 | Yes | 40 |
| Ademoba | Yes | 11.63 |
| SmallFringeMajority | Yes | 10.87 |
| akhen | No | 0.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member of Justin Trudeau's cabinet announces they are resigning from their position or otherwise resigns from their position between December 17, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and December 20, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a cabinet member announces they are resigning but remains in office to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Justin Trudeau or the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-trudeau-cabinet-resignation-by-friday
| sensiori | Yes | 0.08 |
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