Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 9 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 12.5% on 9 Apr 2026 and the low 1.1% on 1 May 2026. $14.46K traded over the market's life.
52 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 19, 5:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 9 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Apr 2026 | 12.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 👑_King_George_👑 | Yes | 1.8K |
| TooYoungToWin | Yes | 363.63 |
| ArtTarasov1989 | Yes | 185.99 |
| HighLife888 | Yes | 100 |
| TP1994 | Yes | 71.43 |
| PPMT | Yes | 41.92 |
| GeoStrategistPro | Yes | 36.4 |
| fhhyfh | Yes | 32 |
| Ogaogu | Yes | 32 |
| Some-Screwup | Yes | 31.16 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels an Iranian diplomat stationed in that country between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by the relevant country ordering the Iranian diplomat to leave, including a declaration of persona non grata. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the relevant diplomat actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-iranian-diplomat-expelled-by-april-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page