Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.8%. Yes opened at 14% on 18 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 18 Jan 2025 to 24 Jan 2025, the highest close was 14% on 18 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 20 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.4 points down, to 0.5% on 20 Jan 2025. $6.96K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 25, 4:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 18 Jan 2025 – 24 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2025 | 14.0% |
| 24 Jan 2025 | 8.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.82K |
| smoltrader | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Andrew Tate (@cobratate), posts on X between January 17, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and January 24, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution source: https://x.com/Cobratate
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/andrew-tate-of-tweets-january-17-24
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