Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 28 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 28 Feb 2025 to 1 Apr 2025, the highest close was 4.3% on 6 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Apr 2025. $291.59K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 1, 9:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 28 Feb 2025 – 1 Apr 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2025 | 3.5% |
| 1 Apr 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lunar Vector 3E8A | Yes | 900 |
| jayneyolk | Yes | 602.11 |
| 2smart | Yes | 415.34 |
| Old-Drama | Yes | 392.68 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is officially granted asylum in the United States on or before March 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/andrew-tate-granted-us-asylum-before-april
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 378.03 |
| sleighterindividual | Yes | 375.1 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 100 |
| Richiefm93 | Yes | 76.92 |
| LawsOfPower | Yes | 60 |
| alexbala | Yes | 46.36 |
