Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 51% on 27 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 27 Dec 2025 to 2 Jan 2026, the highest close was 100% on 2 Jan 2026 and the lowest 51% on 27 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 94.5% on 28 Dec 2025. $3.85K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 3, 12:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 27 Dec 2025 – 2 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | 51.0% |
| 2 Jan 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 343 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 329 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 219 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 213 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/amzn-above-on-january-2-2026
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 158 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 150 |
| pad20 | No | 133.31 |
| fouhua | No | 126.29 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 113 |
| Cronnozzz | No | 48.35 |
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