Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.5%. Yes opened at 43% on 28 Nov 2023. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 28 Nov 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 69.5% on 29 Nov 2023 and the lowest 4% on 23 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 69.5% on 29 Nov 2023. $46.35K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 10:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 28 Nov 2023 – 1 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Nov 2023 | 43.0% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 4.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HarvardInsider | Yes | 20.13 |
| mumps | Yes | 0.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill granting a new aid package to Israel is signed into law in the United States by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/american-aid-to-israel-by-dec-31
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