Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 28% on 9 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 171 daily closes on record from 9 Jan 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.1% on 10 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 45.5% on 29 Apr 2026. $5.8K traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 6:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 171 points, 9 Jan 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2026 | 28.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| Beachedgiraffe | Yes | 100 |
| LebrarianBooker | Yes | 99.41 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alix Earle and Tom Brady are confirmed to be in a romantic relationship by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Confirmation must come directly from Alix Earle or Tom Brady or their official representative(s), and may come through public statements, social media posts, etc.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/alix-earle-and-tom-brady-confirmed-relationship-by-june-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Late-Hemisphere | Yes | 34.29 |
| paas2 | Yes | 30 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 16.94 |
| Kronosssss | Yes | 15 |
| Avvnnnn | Yes | 8 |
| Pestle | Yes | 8 |
| Blaorra | Yes | 8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
