Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 5 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 124 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2026 to 21 Aug 2026 (15 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.8% on 21 Aug 2026 and the lowest 31% on 9 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 46% on 30 Apr 2026. $20.27K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 124 points, 5 Apr 2026 – 21 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | 38.5% |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| olaflvj | No | 1.56K |
| Agreeable-Phenomenon | No | 450.84 |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | No | 128.3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Aligned (https://x.com/alignedlayer) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/aligned-layer-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| No |
| 89.16 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | No | 50.25 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 40 |
| Crashinsider7 | No | 35.71 |
| PPMT | No | 30.97 |
| romanew-crypto | No | 23.33 |
| Raketa09 | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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