Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 57.5%. Yes opened at 56% on 29 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 29 Apr 2026 to 7 May 2026, the highest close was 60.5% on 30 Apr 2026 and the lowest 56% on 29 Apr 2026. $256.61 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 8, 9:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 29 Apr 2026 – 7 May 2026, chart shows 52%–64%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Apr 2026 | 56.0% |
| 7 May 2026 | 57.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| suabeo | No | 51 |
| Past-Misrepresentation | No | 20 |
| snookiemookie | No | 9.34 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Airbnb's total nights and seats booked for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If Airbnb's official earnings materials for Q1 2026 are released and nights and seats booked are not included, this market will resolve to "No". If Airbnb does not release quarterly earnings materials for Q1 2026 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Airbnb's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of nights and seats booked reported in Airbnb's official earnings materials. Only the combined nights and experiences booked figure will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/airbnb-nights-and-seats-booked-above-in-q1
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 0.04 |
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