Analytics
Resolved Springfield Thunderbirds on 15 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Springfield Thunderbirds at 87.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 12 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 12 May 2026 and the low 12.5% on 15 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 12.5% on 15 May 2026. $3.14K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 16, 3:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 12 May 2026 – 15 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 15 May 2026 | 12.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Usernombre | Wilkes Barre/Scranton Penguins | 250 |
| Damsgaard | Wilkes Barre/Scranton Penguins | 122.66 |
| sc1pt0x | Wilkes Barre/Scranton Penguins | 64.68 |
| triklozoid | Wilkes Barre/Scranton Penguins | 50 |
| batgerk | Wilkes Barre/Scranton Penguins | 49.02 |
| xl7rjc49c7sja | Wilkes Barre/Scranton Penguins | 48.48 |
| Brave-Stand | Wilkes Barre/Scranton Penguins | 30.02 |
| poshposh | Wilkes Barre/Scranton Penguins | 30 |
| LiohkiS | Wilkes Barre/Scranton Penguins | 10 |
| Alienated-Wording | Wilkes Barre/Scranton Penguins | 5.88 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for 2026-05-14: If Springfield Thunderbirds win, the market will resolve to "Springfield Thunderbirds". If Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ahl-spr-wil-2026-05-14
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